Survey: Experts Across Fields Agree on AI Catastrophe Risk Estimates

A Research FRI survey finds experts across computer science, economics, industry and policy estimate a 1-16% probability of an AI catastrophe before 2100, with surprisingly little variation by background.

2026-10-16 ~ 2026-10-16 · 2 related posts

• FRI survey: experts across fields estimate 1-16% chance of AI catastrophe by 2100 — ben_j_todd · 2026-10-16

1 near-duplicate retellings: ben_j_todd