Polymarket Sees Only ~5% Chance of US AI Safety Bill in 2026

Polymarket has opened a market on US federal AI safety legislation, pricing only about 5-13% odds of passage by end of 2026 and roughly 31% by mid-2027, reflecting deep skepticism about near-term AI safety legislation.

2026-10-13 ~ 2026-10-14 · 4 related posts

• Polymarket puts only 13% odds on a US AI safety bill by end of 2026 — Polymarket · 2026-10-13
• Polymarket puts just 5% odds on a US AI safety bill passing by end of 2026 — Polymarket · 2026-10-14

2 near-duplicate retellings: Polymarket · Polymarket