Polymarket puts US AI safety bill odds at just 13% by end of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-10-14
Polymarket puts only a 13% chance on the US enacting an AI safety bill by Dec 31, 2026, and 31% by June 30, 2027.
Qualifying bills must impose binding constraints on developers/deployers — release bans or mandatory federal review, training restrictions (data/compute/parameter caps), usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop requirements; voluntary review submissions don't count.
Context: AOC and 24+ lawmakers urged the FAA to halt its AI-assisted air traffic control pilot over safety concerns.
Related event: Polymarket Sees Only ~5% Chance of US AI Safety Bill in 2026(4 posts)→
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