Polymarket Puts Only 8% Odds on US AI Safety Bill by End of 2026
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-23
Polymarket traders give just 8% odds that the US enacts a federal AI safety bill by December 31, 2026 ($149K volume). Resolution requires provisions like model bans, training or usage restrictions, or human-in-the-loop mandates; congressional gridlock fuels the skepticism. The post also quotes Bill Gates warning the world may have to "suffer a few of the negatives" of AI before regulation catches up.
Related event: Polymarket Sees Only 8% Odds of US AI Safety Bill by 2026(2 posts)→
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