Critics Slam AI Doom Probability Figures as Unscientific

Critics argue that widely cited AI extinction probabilities like 10% or 20% are subjective judgments rather than scientific estimates. LAION researcher JJitsev satirized the trend by claiming a 10% extinction risk if frontier open AI research is paused, and Gary Marcus echoed that such figures are unscientific.

2026-09-20 ~ 2026-09-21 · 4 related posts

• Researcher mocks doom numbers: I give 10% odds of human extinction if we pause frontier AI — JJitsev · 2026-09-20
• Those '10% chance AI wipes out humanity' figures are subjective guesses, not science — bennash · 2026-09-20
• Gary Marcus mocks GPT-6's 10% P(Doom): 'even it knows this number is subjective' — GaryMarcus · 2026-09-21

1 near-duplicate retellings: JJitsev