Joke mocks AI extinction risk estimates as 'Bayesian vibes'

A circulating joke mocks AI researchers' extinction-risk estimates—'15%, based on vibes, but Bayesian'—summarized as 10% probability, 90% confidence, and 0% calibration.

2026-09-11 ~ 2026-09-11 · 2 related posts

• AI extinction estimates in one joke: 'Vibes, but Bayesian' — YogeshMalik · 2026-09-11
• AI doom forecasts mocked: 10% probability, 90% confidence, 0% calibration — YogeshMalik · 2026-09-11