AI Community Debates P(doom): Show Your Reasoning
A debate erupted over P(doom): voices including Austen demanded that anyone claiming double-digit extinction risk lay out their reasoning, prompting @ArtemisConsort to publish a step-by-step decomposition arguing RSI is near-certain but doom is not.
2026-09-09 ~ 2026-09-11 · 3 related posts
- Episode 1: Anthropic Researcher's High-Profile Exit Over AI Doom Sparks Conspiracy Claims and Safety Debate(2026-09-09, 238 posts)
- Episode 2: Ex-DeepMind researcher says colleagues genuinely believed AI could kill everyone(2026-09-09, 2 posts)
- Episode 3: Anthropic's Pre-IPO Doom Talk Draws Wave of Mockery Over Conflicting Incentives(2026-09-09, 11 posts)
- Episode 4: AI Insiders Fear Loss of Control as Anthropic Races Toward IPO(2026-09-09, 2 posts)
- Episode 5: AI Community Debates P(doom): Show Your Reasoning(2026-09-09, 3 posts)
- Episode 6: AI Extinction Warnings Spark UK Parliament Debate(2026-09-09, 2 posts)
- Episode 7: Ex-Anthropic researcher's resignation warning sparks cross-media and political push for AI regulation(2026-09-10, 32 posts)
- Episode 8: Debate Rages Over Whether AI Doomers Truly Believe Their Warnings(2026-09-10, 4 posts)
- Episode 9: Cambridge Professor Puts AI Doom Odds Above 50%(2026-09-10, 2 posts)
- Episode 10: Anthropic Researcher Says AI Developers Believe Extinction Risk Is Real(2026-09-10, 2 posts)
- Episode 11: Anthropic's Risk Statement Slammed as Corporate Speak, Safety Credentials Questioned(2026-09-10, 5 posts)
- Episode 12: Wildeford Urges Anthropic to Replace PR Team with Researchers(2026-09-10, 3 posts)
- Episode 13: Anthropic Researcher's Viral Resignation Post Sparks Coordinated-PR Allegations(2026-09-10, 16 posts)
- Episode 14: AI safety researcher Geoffrey Irving puts extinction-from-superintelligence odds at ~50%(2026-09-10, 6 posts)
- Episode 15: Top Lab Insiders Warn of AI Extinction as Coxon's Resignation Post Tops 160M Views(2026-09-10, 23 posts)
- Episode 16: Ex-Anthropic Researcher Warns NBC of Recursive Self-Improvement AI Risk(2026-09-11, 3 posts)
- Episode 17: Ex-DeepMind researcher reveals $500K+ salary, quantifying the cost of whistleblowing(2026-09-12, 5 posts)
- ">10% extinction risk?" AI safety figures clash over doom-mongering — mertdumenci · 2026-09-09
- If You Claim Double-Digit Doom Odds, Show Your Work — Dan_Jeffries1 · 2026-09-11
- A Step-by-Step P(doom) Calculation: RSI Likely, Doom Far From Certain — SydSteyerhart · 2026-09-11