Polymarket odds of OpenAI declaring AGI this year jump to 19% after GPT-6

After OpenAI released GPT-6 Astra and suggested it may represent an early stage of AGI, Polymarket odds of OpenAI officially declaring AGI by end of 2026 surged to 19%, with about $104K traded, though most bettors remain skeptical.

2026-09-04 ~ 2026-09-04 · 3 related posts

• Polymarket: only 19% odds OpenAI declares AGI by year-end despite GPT-6 launch — Polymarket · 2026-09-04
• Polymarket odds of OpenAI officially achieving AGI by year-end surge to 19% after GPT-6 Astra release — Polymarket · 2026-09-04

1 near-duplicate retellings: Polymarket