GPT-6 Astra Launch Sends Polymarket's OpenAI-AGI-By-Year-End Odds to 19%
Polymarket · x · 2026-09-04
After GPT-6 Astra's release, Polymarket odds that OpenAI officially announces AGI before end-2026 surged to 19% on $104K volume. Market notes: Sam Altman said in August the company is 80% toward its internal AGI definition; Astra development was paused by safety review after hitting critical cybersecurity thresholds under the Preparedness Framework; traders say self-reported milestones won't resolve the market absent independent verification.
Related event: Polymarket odds of OpenAI declaring AGI this year jump to 19% after GPT-6(3 posts)→
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