A custom detector scanned 13,500 arXiv papers: 38% read as machine-written

kimmonismus · x · 2026-11-16

Motivated by a reviewer friend seeing mostly AI-written submissions (some pure slop with no real experiments), the author found ZeroGPT unreliable (old papers flagged too) and built a custom detector with a controlled false-positive rate. Method: 25 papers per field per month across ten fields, Jan 2023–Oct 2026 (13,500 total), with the threshold set so only 0.4% of pre-ChatGPT control papers were flagged. Result: 38% of Aug–Oct 2026 samples read as machine-written, with a clear upward trend. Limitations are discussed; the detector is free with unlimited use.

Related event: Study Finds 38% of New arXiv Papers Appear AI-Written(3 posts)→

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