38% of new arXiv papers read as AI-written; CS hits 62%

kimmonismus · x · 2026-11-16

A scan of 13,500 arXiv papers (2021–2026) finds 38% of papers sampled in Aug–Oct 2026 read as machine-written, up from a 0.4% pre-ChatGPT baseline, rising every year since 2023. By field: CS highest at 62%, then Quantitative Biology 58% and EE 51%; Math at 3.7% since equation-heavy papers give the detector less prose. Tuned to avoid false positives, it misses 20% of AI text, so the real share is likely higher. Citing Dwarkesh Patel's RSI podcast, the author expects the figure to climb and asks how knowledge will be generated going forward.

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