Dan Robinson: compute and labor can both be scarce; 2027 intelligence explosion unlikely

brianryhuang · x · 2026-11-16

Paradigm's Dan Robinson pushes back on the compute-scarcity framing in the intelligence explosion debate: lab researchers can be severely compute-constrained while still being labor-constrained too — more people would change the kinds of experiments run. He agrees feedback loops slow RSI, one reason he doesn't find a 2027 intelligence explosion very likely.

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