AI safety researcher revives 2022 case for strategic foresight in AGI governance
JacquesThibs · x · 2026-11-15
Responding to skeptics, AI safety practitioner Jacques Thibs points to his 2022 LessWrong essay arguing AGI governance should adopt strategic foresight: scanning weak signals, imagining multiple plausible futures, and designing robust strategies plus prepared policy documents and demos for each scenario. He says his new org will include such work and invites criticism on applying forecasting to AGI strategy.
Related event: Debate Resurfaces Over Whether Forecasting Is Overrated on LessWrong(4 posts)→
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