Dwarkesh: the avalanche that hit math is coming for AI development itself

SinclairWang1 · x · 2026-11-15

Dwarkesh Patel argues 'the avalanche that hit math is coming for AI development' — AI-driven acceleration in math research will soon apply to AI research itself. Reposter Elie Bakouch, who spent months on this topic, broadly agrees and adds a key caveat: second-order interactions in LLM training pipelines (e.g. shrinking KV cache for inference efficiency interacts unpredictably with other pretraining components) could slow open AI research progress. A high-signal essay on how to measure AI progress.

Related event: Dwarkesh Radically Shortens ASI Timeline to Median 2028(13 posts)→

Original post →

More from AGI Musings

AGI Musings channel →