72 days without a frontier model: is OpenAI hoarding a release to sabotage Anthropic's IPO?
Neurogence · reddit · 2026-11-15
A Reddit post maps the frontier race and speculates on OpenAI's timing:
- It's been 72 days since GPT-6 Astra launched; 19 days later Anthropic's Opus 5.5 was widely seen as outclassing it
- GPT-6.1 Sol failed to reclaim the crown, and the planned GPT-6.1 Astra was reportedly canceled over "serious alignment and deceptive-behavior concerns"
- Anthropic then shipped the stronger Fable/Mythos 5.2; Google DeepMind's Gemini 4 Carbon is the only other serious competitive heat
The author suspects OpenAI is sitting on a model stronger than Opus 5.5 or even Fable 5.2, timed to drop right around Anthropic's IPO (priced Nov 18, trading Nov 19). If nothing ships next week, it likely means alignment issues remain unfixed.
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