Patel pulls AGI timeline to ~2028: AI matching top human AI researchers, 25% odds it slips past 2032
neurobassism · reddit · 2026-11-14
The avalanche that hit mathematics is now heading for AI development: Patel, who earlier this year thought superintelligence was most of a decade away, now expects AI to match the best human AI researchers around 2028, possibly as soon as 2027, assigning a 25% chance it slips past 2032.
The sharply tightened timeline echoes how quickly AI has been breaking through frontier math problems.
Related event: Dwarkesh Radically Shortens ASI Timeline to Median 2028(13 posts)→
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