Code perplexity evals now measure LLMs predicting their own generated code

DZhang50 · x · 2026-11-14

Responding to khoomeik's thread on whether Ant's cross-entropy gains come from data or algorithms, DZhang50 flags a measurement contamination problem: many teams now measure code perplexity on "held-out" internal codebases that are themselves LLM-generated, so they're effectively measuring an LLM's ability to predict its own code.

khoomeik argued a superexponential CE decline is a much weaker update for algorithmic progress unless data effects are ablated; synthetic-data-driven intelligence explosion (cf. RL) is possible but usually not what "algorithmic progress" means.

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