Azeem Azhar sketches the cost of 'manufacturing' a worker: AI vs human economics

Exponential View (Azeem Azhar) · rss · 2026-11-14

In a research sketchbook post, Azeem Azhar explores the economic trade-off between getting work done by AI versus humans. He proposes viewing a worker as an entity the economy must produce: tally the minimum cost of parenting, educating and feeding a human from birth to adulthood, then compare it with the cost of bringing in an AI-capable machine for the same work.

He frames AI as "manufactured intelligence" — not identical to human intelligence but clearly intelligence-like — highly replicable and following classic learning curves. Economically useful human intelligence, by contrast, takes far longer to produce than a chip, with outcomes unknowable for years. The framework feeds into his forthcoming second book.

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