AI safety researcher says contrarian AGI-timeline takes cost him funding and status
JacquesThibs · x · 2026-11-14
In a thread on AI safety forecasters, JacquesThibs says he held a "50% automated researcher by end of 2027" view since 2022, but because it ran against consensus it was treated as fringe, costing him funding and status in the field. He argues that when updating on forecasters like Daniel Kokotajlo, people should compare against the average within the AI safety community — where Daniel performed much better than most.
More from AGI Musings
- Debate erupts over Jensen Huang's legacy as critic says he raised humanity's AI extinction risk — sjgadler · 2026-11-14
- Did OpenAI Abandon Its Safest Structure by Removing the Investor Profit Cap? — mattjohnstonaz · 2026-11-14
- Post-training is idea-driven; what the field may really need is fabs, chips and energy — akbirthko · 2026-11-14
- 'No one likes AI in products' vs reality: most shoppers never read the label — AIandDesign · 2026-11-14
- Dev Argues Open-Source AI Is the 'Second Amendment' of the AGI Era — bingxu_ · 2026-11-14
- Would OpenAI be worth over $1.5T if Anthropic hadn't split off? — panickssery · 2026-11-14