Post-training is idea-driven; what the field may really need is fabs, chips and energy

akbirthko · x · 2026-11-14

The author quotes Josh's essay on idea-driven vs goal-driven research and argues that today's post-training work is mostly idea-driven, while the real bottleneck is physical compute and energy — more fabs, chips, nuclear reactors and solar panels around the world. The linked essay contrasts following the literature to improve known methods (prone to being scooped, best for 1–2 person teams) with setting a concrete capability goal (e.g. RL for 3D humanoid locomotion) and working backward, which the essay author recommends for its differentiated perspective and stronger motivation.

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