Dwarkesh: AI went from preschooler to savant intern in 4 years; next jump would be vastly superhuman
paul_scharre · x · 2026-11-14
Podcast host Dwarkesh argues that over the past four years, AI has leaped from a "preschooler" to a "savant intern." If another jump of the same magnitude starts from a 2027-2028 baseline, the resulting mind would be vastly superhuman in any domain that is even slightly verifiable. He adds that the avalanche that crushed mathematics is now coming for AI development itself—AI will accelerate AI research.
Related event: Dwarkesh Radically Shortens ASI Timeline to Median 2028(13 posts)→
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