Incremental research is now riskier than going all in on big ideas

fkasummer · x · 2026-11-13

A quoted take argues that incremental research is now riskier than betting on big ideas — by the time your incremental paper reaches a conference, it's irrelevant. The author agrees, adding that the most important paradigmatic problems since 2020/2022 demand deep, years-long buildup and aren't quick wins. The exchange captures a live debate in the AI research community on whether safe, small-step papers are rapidly losing value.

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