Kokotajlo updates AI-2027 timelines: intelligence explosion may land in 2027

Dr_Singularity · x · 2026-11-13

Daniel Kokotajlo analyzes the new METR report and other evidence, concluding the intelligence explosion will follow the AI-2027 scenario about 5 months early. His updated timelines chart shows forecasters converging on top-expert AI around Sep 2027–Sep 2028; he calls himself scared, sad, and angry.

Related event: AI 2027 author says intelligence explosion on track, possibly sooner(3 posts)→

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