This Remote Labor Index chart projects AI hits 98% automation by ~2027

sergeykarayev · x · 2026-11-13

Investor Toby Utter shared a chart plotting Remote Labor Index automation rate against the Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI), arguing we haven't properly internalized it. Frontier models from GPT-5.2 to Claude Fable 5.2 (40% automation) trace an S-curve that steepens to 98% around 189 ECI (May–Oct 2027), with the Epoch S-curve variant hitting it near 205 ECI (Dec 2027–Oct 2028) — implying remote labor automation could go from minority to near-total within roughly two years.

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