ChemCost Benchmark: Best Agents Hit Only 50.6% Estimating Chemical Purchase Costs

jiqizhixin · x · 2026-11-13

ChemCost, from Carnegie Mellon, Notre Dame, UNC Chapel Hill and Pittsburgh researchers, turns chemical procurement cost estimation into a reproducible agent benchmark. A frozen snapshot covers 1,427 evaluable reactions, 2,261 chemicals, and 230,775 supplier pack quotes. Agents must resolve identities, retrieve quotes, pick compliant packs, and normalize cost per product mass at one-millimole limiting-reagent scale (solvents excluded). The best reported clean-input result reaches only 50.6% accuracy within 25% relative error, with controlled perturbations (ambiguous names, quantity chaos) making it harder still — far beyond mere chemical-name recognition.

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