Anthropic's TASTE benchmark shows models near chance on fuzzy judgment tasks

ronbodkin · x · 2026-11-13

A debate on how fast AI progresses on "fuzzy tasks." @benjtodd argued there's little evidence of slow progress: if fuzziness mattered, task fuzziness should correlate with capability doubling times, which the data doesn't show — and models are now clearly good at tasks once considered fuzzy, like legal advice or understanding product specs.

Ron Bodkin cited "Automated Alignment is Harder Than You Think" (arXiv:2605.06390), defining fuzzy tasks more narrowly as "tasks without clear evaluation criteria, for which human judgement is systematically flawed" — covering qualitative judgment in AI research, both capabilities and safety. Data there is scarce and hard to measure; Anthropic's TASTE benchmark shows current models near chance, so rapid progress lacks evidence amid much uncertainty.

Related event: Debate flares over AI progress on ambiguous tasks(2 posts)→

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