'AGI is three months away' has been said for two years: Diogo's 10 sharpest quotes on software

TheTuringPost · x · 2026-11-12

The Turing Post distilled Diogo (@CompleteSkeptic)'s AI Engineer Code Summit talk into ten quotes: AGI has been 'three months away' for two years while the world outside SF looks unchanged; models are Einstein 95% of the time and Mr. Bean 5%, making automation unreliable; RLHF is part of the problem — models were optimized for assisted work yet expected to work autonomously; 'the bitterest lesson is doing the right task' (task choice > data > compute); the world has 'LLM Stockholm Syndrome,' designing around today's model limits; put intelligence into software's inner loop with intent as a reliable building block; break tasks into verifiable stages and manage state; bad actors enjoy an asymmetric advantage, which explains slop; call it 'software research' — build weird things, 1% pays off; and the endgame: 'can we automate this?' becomes 'how much work will it take?'

Related event: Diogo's Top Quotes: RLHF Is Part of the Problem, Software Will Make a Comeback(2 posts)→

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