AI 'doomers' call themselves 'the Cassandra fringe' — critic says the analogy flatters overconfidence

DrTechlash · x · 2026-11-12

A Guardian profile of Redwood Research, METR, and the AI Futures Project (AI2027/2040) reveals the close-knit group calls itself "the Cassandra fringe" — blessed with prophecy but cursed to be ignored. DrTechlash pushes back: Cassandra actually knew the future, while doomers only assign probabilities to highly speculative scenarios. The real problem, he argues, isn't an unheeding world but the overconfidence of treating unverifiable scenarios as grounds for extraordinary authority.

Related event: Guardian exposes tight-knit AI doomer circle, Redwood CEO's extinction talk mocked(2 posts)→

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