Toby Ord: explosion forecasters see super-human coder in 2027, closer to skeptics than it seems
tobyordoxford · x · 2026-11-11
Toby Ord notes that even intelligence-explosion forecasters like Kokotajlo predict reaching a super-human coder in 2027 rather than wild external effects that year — not that different from skeptics' predictions of high ECI with little external impact, suggesting the debate's gap is smaller than it appears.
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