davidmanheim: task time horizon is incoherent as a measure, p99 and p50 share failure-rate roots
davidmanheim · x · 2026-11-11
davidmanheim responds to ramez's time-horizon argument with a methodological critique: p99 and p50 are intrinsically connected since both derive from estimating failure rates, and task horizon length is incoherent as a measure. He links to related criticisms he expects ramez will agree with. A methodological exchange within the ongoing time-horizon debate.
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