Manheim bets post-collapse industrial recovery needs no more than 3 generations

davidmanheim · x · 2026-11-11

Responding to Wes Pegden's thought experiment about losing physical technology while keeping knowledge, davidmanheim says he is fundamentally skeptical of MacAskill's 'Coal Deposits' argument but that scenario would solve it; the biggest question is how fast population could grow to support modern industry, and he'd bet no more than 3 generations.

Related event: Manheim responds to Pegden: knowledge rebuilds industry but only to 1950s level(2 posts)→

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