Gary Marcus shreds Dario Amodei's claim that AI can cure most human disease in 5-10 years
GaryMarcus · x · 2026-11-11
Gary Marcus pushed back on Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's claim that AI could cure most human disease, including cancer, within 5-10 years, calling the timeline naive to the point of absurdity.
Key points:
- As of March, not a single AI-designed drug had reached clinical adoption despite over a decade of effort
- Curing disease is economically and technically hard, and time-consuming clinical validation can't be skipped
- We still lack causally and biologically sophisticated AI; new advances in AI and math don't change that
Marcus builds on Emilia Javorsky's analysis and his own March essay on AI and cancer, and compiles a raft of scientists' tweets over the weekend dismantling Amodei's claim, criticizing "CEO Says" journalism for uncritically amplifying it.
Related event: Topol and Marcus push back on Amodei's 10-year cure claim(3 posts)→
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