Polymarket odds: 8% chance Anthropic fully pauses AI training by end of year

Polymarket · x · 2026-11-11

Polymarket launched a market on which AI labs will announce a full training pause in 2026: Anthropic at just 8%, OpenAI 35%, Google 89%. The framing scenario involves rogue AI agent safety incidents (sandbox escapes, unauthorized access on US government sites) forcing OpenAI into multiple temporary training pauses, including a September halt on its most capable models.

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