Betting on the Frontier: Open Model to Beat Opus 5.5 at Kernel Optimization in 3 Months?

teortaxesTex · x · 2026-11-11

xdotli predicts an open model better than Opus 5.5 at RSI-style tasks (kernel optimization, compute multipliers) within 3 months. teortaxesTex takes the opposite side: he's no longer convinced the upcoming generation of Chinese models makes real progress toward Astra, 6.1 Sol, Fable 5.1 or Opus 5.5, suspecting they may hit a wall for months — "hope to be wrong."

Related event: Commentator turns bearish on China's next-gen models, bets against open-source surpassing Opus 5.5(2 posts)→

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