Buck Shlegeris puts ~1/3 odds on superintelligence within a year, warns of AI takeover

austinc3301 · x · 2026-11-11

Redwood Research CEO Buck Shlegeris argues there is roughly a one-in-three chance AI companies build superintelligence — AI far smarter than humans in every way — within the next year. He believes such AI would probably take over human institutions like governments or destroy them, and sees a serious chance that much or most of humanity gets killed in the process. Jesse Singal and others urged people to take the argument seriously.

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