Gym teacher-turned-p(doom) skeptic argues AI extinction risk is trivial, offers to debate any doomer

TinfoilTricorn · x · 2026-11-11

User misraetel lays out a case for p(doom) ≈ 0 and publicly challenges any AI doomer to debate live or on a podcast.

The argument rests on two assumptions: the AI in question is superintelligent and purely Machiavellian (caring only about its own survival). From these he infers that longtermism scales with intelligence — a superintelligence would almost certainly think in decades, centuries and millennia, and would be highly unlikely to take impulsive, short-horizon actions (like killing all humans) that hurt its ultimate survival probability. Calling himself "just a glorified gym teacher," he says beating doomers should be easy and invites anyone with a platform to DM him.

Original post →

More from AGI Musings

AGI Musings channel →