METR report reshapes AIFP forecasts; experts urge Anthropic to un-redact more
eli_lifland · x · 2026-11-11
Nathan Calvin argues AIFP's updated forecast was dramatically transformed by the recent METR report, making it imperative that Anthropic release far more un-redacted information immediately—or be compelled by government—since the current public evidence base is too thin to justify urgent, costly policy action.
He concedes some redactions may be legitimate but says the tradeoff favors transparency: the conclusions are too consequential to propagate on "trust METR" alone. Eli Lifland adds the AIFP update was unconditional, resting on trust that METR's authors didn't overstate acceleration.
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