AI's convincing counter-narratives are making the future less predictable, not more
robleclerc · x · 2026-11-10
A counterintuitive observation: now that everyone uses AI and we have all the knowledge and data we could wish for, the future has become far less predictable. AI helps find convincing counter-narratives to every story—every day brings more scenarios, counter-cases, and ways things could go right or wrong.
As new evidence emerges, people quickly revise their thesis, feed that sentiment back into the market, and find new counter-evidence days later that forces another reversal. More information doesn't mean more certainty—a thought worth chewing on for investors and decision-makers.
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