Ben Todd predicts Remote Labor Index saturation by April 2027 as AI closes in on real remote work

ben_j_todd · x · 2026-11-10

Ben Todd cites the Remote Labor Index, a CAIS x Scale AI benchmark built from real 30-hour Upwork tasks graded by humans, and predicts saturation by April 2027. He notes these tasks involve no human interaction or teamwork, so they're still less messy than much real work — but far more realistic than most benchmarks. Chart made with Claude. Senior authors include Dan Hendrycks, Alexandr Wang and others from CAIS and Scale AI.

Related event: Ben Todd's Remote Labour Index Saturation Forecast Draws Methodological Pushback from Toby Ord(6 posts)→

Original post →

More from AGI Musings

AGI Musings channel →