Remote labour index on track to saturate by April 2027, says Ben Todd, based on real Upwork tasks
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-11-10
benjtodd notes the remote labour index — built from real 30-hour Upwork tasks graded by humans — is on track for saturation by April 2027. The accompanying chart shows frontier models' automation rates climbing near-linearly on a log scale, with the latest models nearing 40-50%, implying full automation of these tasks by mid-2027 if the trend holds. A quantified, checkable take on AI's knowledge-work displacement timeline.
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