Ben Todd: superhuman AI could compress 4 years of progress into 6 months, GPT-7 to GPT-10 in 2027
ben_j_todd · x · 2026-11-10
Replying to Toby Ord, Ben Todd cites Tom Davidson's takeoff model: roughly 4 years of AI progress compressed into 6 months. In practice that could mean going from GPT-7 in April 2027 to GPT-10 by December 2027. He expects such systems to beat human experts on most 1-year tasks, be superhuman at much R&D, and likely support in-context learning.
Related event: Researchers envision AI compressing 4 years of progress into 6 months(2 posts)→
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