Polymarket odds: Grok 5 by end of 2026 just 11%, by end of 2027 83%

Polymarket · x · 2026-11-10

Polymarket launched betting markets on Grok 5's release date. Current odds: the "by September 30, 2026" market already settled No; "by December 31, 2026" sits at just 11%, while "by December 31, 2027" is at 83%.

Rules require public availability (open beta or waitlist counts; closed beta/enterprise access doesn't), and decimalized Grok 4.x variants won't qualify.

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