1M simulated Monopoly games show first-turn roll of 4 cuts win rate to 14.9%
randal_olson · x · 2026-11-10
Data scientist Randal Olson shared a Monte Carlo simulation of 1 million Monopoly games: rolling a 4 on your first turn drops your win rate to 14.9%, well below the even share of 21.8%. Drawing "Advance to Boardwalk" on turn 1, meanwhile, boosts your win rate to 35.6%—quantifying just how much early luck shapes the whole game.
More from Fun
- Dev's viral jab: artists rage at AI — will doctors rage when it cures disease? — ostrisai · 2026-11-10
- mark_k shares AI-generated fictional megastructure aqueduct image — mark_k · 2026-11-10
- Hand-drawn meme mocks AI-made ad flood: "Sick of AI ads, here's mine" — alexgoughcooper · 2026-11-10
- MapQuest is back: its search visibility index just hit an all-time high — lilyraynyc · 2026-11-10
- Godzilla and Sonic on silicon: the chip industry's lost die-art easter eggs — thehiphopswami · 2026-11-10
- AI-built 3D desert game world editor demo stuns with "They can build now?" — jasonkneen · 2026-11-10