Anthropic's amended S-1 warns of imminent 'dramatically accelerated' AI-driven R&D progress
TheZvi · x · 2026-11-09
Zvi's weekly roundup centers on Anthropic's amended S-1 filing, which now states the company "may imminently meet" its Responsible Scaling Policy's definition of "dramatically accelerated progress attributable to AI" — a sentence he finds alarming, arguing AI R&D is accelerating toward potential recursive self-improvement by 2027. An accompanying chart extrapolates Anthropic's R&D automation trajectory toward AL4 (AI leads) at 50% and AL5 (fully automated) at 90% around 2027.
Other items:
- Binance hit by the biggest crypto hack ever, losing billions
- The week's big debate: Scott Alexander's "Against SURA Seems Deeply Confused"
- OpenAI updated its Model Spec ("one for diehards only")
- Plus the usual sections on LLM utility, upgrades, and limitations
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