Frontier lab insiders say 12-month RSI timelines may be the default outcome

harris_edouard · x · 2026-11-09

Quoting Ben Todd's extrapolation of Anthropic's internal AI R&D data: Claude could lead internal research by mid-2027, with near-full automation plausible by end of 2027 — consistent with other forecasting methods. Jeremie Harris adds that people at frontier labs, publicly and privately, see 12-month RSI timelines as the default outcome, meaning AI predictions will be tested much sooner than expected.

Related event: Extrapolated Anthropic Data Suggests Claude Could Automate AI R&D by Late 2027(3 posts)→

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