AI capability has increasing returns: 100 points worthless, 170 earns $100bn/yr, 240 could 'take over the world'

ben_j_todd · x · 2026-11-09

benjtodd offers another framing of his point that AI capability (AECI) clearly has increasing returns: at 100 points it's basically worthless; at 170 it can solve important problems in math & computer science and earn $100bn/year; at 240 it becomes radically superhuman and may be able to take over the world — i.e., marginal value of capability gains grows explosively, not linearly.

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