Toby Ord: Chinchilla-optimal adjustment makes the compute-horizon power law fit even better

tobyordoxford · x · 2026-11-09

Toby Ord points out that Whitfill-Snodin-Becker follow their figure with a version adjusting training compute to Chinchilla-optimal-equivalent, controlling for over- or under-trained models. The power law fit improves — shared slope R² rises from 0.906 to 0.949 — further supporting a power law between time horizon and training compute.

Related event: Oxford scholars debate the power law linking RL compute to AI task horizons(10 posts)→

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