Alternative explanation: time horizon progress may be uneven across domains

BasilHalperin · x · 2026-11-09

Halperin offers explanation (b): time horizon progress may not be uniform across domains — which would be unfortunate, he notes, because it would make the trajectory of AI capabilities much harder to predict from any single benchmark.

Related event: OpenAI internal data shows 15-minute 80% time horizon with method-dependent doubling speed(20 posts)→

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