METR cross-domain chart: time horizon levels differ by domain but growth rates are similar

BasilHalperin · x · 2026-11-09

Offering explanation (a) for the slow-looking OpenAI internal numbers, Halperin points to Kwa's METR cross-domain analysis: different domains (SWE-bench, LiveCodeBench, GPQA, Tesla FSD, OSWorld, etc.) have different time-horizon intercepts but similar slopes — software tasks may just be a hard domain rather than evidence of a general slowdown.

Related event: OpenAI internal data shows 15-minute 80% time horizon with method-dependent doubling speed(20 posts)→

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