Matthew Green: Even experts haven't stress-tested what open models can actually do

matthew_d_green · x · 2026-11-08

Cryptographer Matthew Green argues that surprisingly few experts have actually sat down with open-weight models and sent them off to do tasks the way a novice would, so the community doesn't really know their capability ceiling for exploits. He also engages a second argument — that exploits don't matter because existing criminal groups are well-understood or are Russia — saying he's open to it and would even like it to be true.

Related event: Cryptographer Matthew Green Stirs Debate After Testing AI Exploit Capability, Offers $500 Bet(5 posts)→

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